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Showing posts with the label futures

Solana futures are so mispriced, arbitrageurs are earning 23% yields

Futures contracts for Solana (SOL) are so mispriced that arbitrageurs are earning annualized interest rates of 23% on exchanges with institutional credibility and millions of dollars worth of available liquidity.  Yesterday, monthly CME futures contracts for SOL expiring in October were trading at a 2.8% premium to spot. That created a substantial yield for a two-legged trade that could have conservatively achieved a USD denominated annualized yield of 23%. The specific type of mispricing is contango — an anomaly when the futures price of an asset is higher than the expected spot price at contract expiration. To illustrate this, consider the simultaneous prices of SOL futures and spot SOL on the CME in October that one arbitrageur captured yesterday: $237.60 and $230.97, respectively . If an arbitrageur was indifferent to the price of SOL and simply wanted to lock in a market-neutral, USD-denominated yield, they could have shorted October futures contracts an...

XRP futures open interest hits 5-month high

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Open interest in XRP futures has surged to its highest level since January, reaching a peak of 800 million XRP before settling at 743 million, a 33% rise from the June 22 low, according to data retrieved by Finbold from Coinglass .  XRP open interest. Source: Coinglass This spike in cumulative futures positions signals growing confidence among derivatives traders, even as XRP’s spot price holds steady at around $2.33, up 2.34% in the past 24 hours and 6.27% over the past week. XRP funding rate. Source: TradingView XRP price analysis  Despite the rise in futures activity, XRP’s price hasn’t followed suit with any explosive gains. Analysts attribute this disconnect to divergent trends across global exchanges. On South Korea’s Upbit, the country’s largest crypto trading platform, XRP inflows remain strong, propping up demand.  Meanwhile, other major international exchanges have witnessed outflows exceeding $8.82 million in XRP, suggesting that the pri...

CME Bitcoin futures show investors betting on $40K BTC price

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The Bitcoin futures annualized premium jumped to 34% on Nov. 28, leading analysts to speculate about an imminent spot BTC ETF approval. The demand for institutional investors for Bitcoin (BTC) became evident on Nov. 10 as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures flipped Binance's BTC futures markets in terms of size. According to BTC derivatives metrics, those investors are showing strong confidence in Bitcoin's potential to break above the $40,000 mark in the short term. CME Bitcoin futures open interest, USD. Source: Coinglass CME's current Bitcoin futures open interest stands at $4.35 billion, the highest since November 2021 when Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $69,000–a clear indication of heightened interest, but is it enough to justify further price gains? CME's remarkable growth and the spot Bitcoin ETF speculation The impressive 125% surge in CME's BTC futures open interest from $1.93 billion in mid-October is undoubtedly tied to the anticipat...

Coinbase unveils crypto futures trading for eligible US traders

Coinbase Financial Markets has officially launched crypto futures trading for eligible US traders , following its approval to operate as a futures commission merchant by the National Futures Association. Coinbase Financial Markets has expanded its offerings by introducing crypto futures trading to eligible US traders. This move follows the company’s clearance to operate as a futures commission merchant by the National Futures Association in August. A futures contract represents a legal agreement to purchase or sell an asset at a predetermined price at a specified future date. For traders, futures offer a range of strategic benefits, including risk hedging, portfolio diversification, leveraged trading, and the ability to speculate on market directions. To access these crypto futures, US traders are required to utilize the Coinbase Advanced trading platform and possess a spot trading account with the exchange. The contracts are deliberately sized to accommodate retail trade...

Ethereum price reaches lowest level relative to Bitcoin in 5 months

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Traders question whether the underperformance is due to the Shapella hard fork, while derivatives data indicates that ETH buyers lack conviction. The previous six months should have been extremely beneficial to Ether's (ETH) price , especially after the project's most significant upgrade ever in September 2022. However, the reality was the opposite: between September 15, 2022, and March 15, 2023, Ether underperformed Bitcoin (BTC) by 10%. Ether/Bitcoin price on Bitfinex, 2-day. Source: TradingView The price ratio of 0.068 ETH/BTC had been holding since October 2022, a support that was broken on March 15. Whatever the reason for the underperformance, traders currently have little confidence in placing leverage bets, according to ETH futures and options data. But first, one should consider why Ether's price was expected to rise in the previous six months . On September 15, 2022, the Merge, a Hard Fork that switched the network to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, occur...

Are Bitcoin Traders Turning Optimistic Right Now?

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The state of the recent Bitcoin derivatives market was fairly dry. However, traders have started re-stepping into the arena. In fact, the futures OI has registered a substantial increase since the first week of January. On Binance alone, the reading of the same inclined from Jan. 5’s $2.44 billion to $3.16 billion towards the end of last week. As far as the aggregate numbers are concerned, data from C OI nglass revealed that the BTC futures OI on all exchanges rose from $9.37 billion to $11.1 billion in the same timeframe. BTC Futures OI | Source: Coinglass Also Read: Is a “Bigger Breakout” Looming for Bitc OI n, Ethereum? Alongside Binance’s rise, it is interesting to note that traders have started increasingly trading on CME as well. From the first week of January’s $1.1 billion lows, the number is already up to $1.9 billion. In fact, in terms of standings, CME, more commonly known as the “institutional exchange,” has glided up to the second...